Recent polls have predicted a blue-wave in America come November.
FiveThirtyEight has got Biden ahead in the national polls at 50.9% of the vote, with Trump trailing at 42.1%. Although Biden’s lead can at times be seen as smaller than that of Hillary’s at this point in the election cycle, it is UMPTEENTH more secure.
A poll taken by the Financial Times on the margins in percentage points for the number of electoral college votes. It predicts a Biden-swing in Ohio, a bell-weather state which is a strong indicator for which way the presidency will swing. Ohio has voted for the winner of the presidency in every election but for one since WW2.
With Biden finally promising to ‘come out of his basement’ with more cemented policy ideas, its debatable whether he’s left enough time to leave a mark in the campaign trail. Before now, Biden has not been forthcoming with many policy ideas, and seems to be expecting to get the presidency on the basis that he’s “not Donald Trump”, more-so than the fact that he’s Joe Biden.
Many would consider this a winning argument, beyond doubt, yet Hillary Clinton ran on the same message four years ago, and the moral-standing didn’t prove to mean enough.
A complacent Biden will no longer guarantee a President Biden.
The Democrats will have to establish a reason to govern - for their own merits as much as the President’s downfalls - otherwise they will receive an even worse shock this November than 4 years back.
Written by Jessica Craighill
Artwork by Zara Masood
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